During the fictional 2026 Northbridge campaign, Candidate Rowan said the city unemployment rate doubled in one year.
This sample demonstrates the public case-file experience without making a real political judgment.
CURRENT EVIDENCE ASSESSMENT
27%±42
Evidence Support · Uncertainty
00–69 current plausible range100
Plain English: Available independent evidence currently weighs against the claim, but uncertainty remains substantial. Open every source below before relying on the number.
4independent roots
1supporting
3contradicting
SHOW YOUR WORK
Evidence roots
CONTRADICT
Northbridge Labor Office annual dataset
Root ROOT-LABOR · quality 100 · provenance 100
SUPPORT
Candidate campaign press release
Root ROOT-CAMPAIGN · quality 45 · provenance 90
SUPPORT
News article quoting the same campaign press release
Root ROOT-CAMPAIGN · quality 55 · provenance 80
CONTRADICT
Independent university labor analysis
Root ROOT-UNIVERSITY · quality 90 · provenance 90
CONTRADICT
Archived city dashboard
Root ROOT-CITY · quality 92 · provenance 92
CHALLENGE ISSUE
A challenge is researched separately first
CH-DEMO-004
Were the two unemployment datasets actually comparable?
RESOLVED
This challenge is a separate research issue. It tests whether a methodology change weakened one of the original claim's contradictory sources.
CURRENT EVIDENCE ASSESSMENT
74%±12
Evidence Support · Uncertainty
062–86 current plausible range100
Effect on parent claim
Downweight one evidence item by 31% effective impact. The parent claim is then recalculated; its prior score remains permanently visible.
CASE CHECK-IN
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CHALLENGE THIS RESULT
You do not need a website or source to question us.
Start with the concern. We first estimate whether it could materially change the current Evidence Support percentage. The more material the issue, the deeper the research.